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Bianca Schulz's avatar

Very good analysis. I would add one thing: companies probably want to reduce simple administrative roles or simple team members. In my experience, however, the real problems are leaders who can neither contribute technically, nor in terms of domain expertise, methodology, or process design, let alone shape any of these. So the question is how efficient it will really be when you let people go, because the wrong people stay in.

I also think that if you genuinely redesign workflows with AI and properly dig into the subject matter, entirely new creative ideas for new business areas emerge, and then you need people again, the very people you may have just let go.

Perhaps in the end the winners will be the companies that are being built right now, setting up their organizational structure much flatter and process-oriented from the start, going AI-first from day one.

Peter Rex's avatar

What you're describing from the inside of the organization, I've been watching from the outside — and the well metaphor holds from both angles. The difference is that from where I'm standing, I'm not sure the organization can be convinced to put the bucket down. Not because the math is wrong, but because the math is right on the wrong timescale. Quarterly reporting is a structural problem, not a persuasion problem.

The dog in the park isn't in the ROI deck. That's the whole issue.

https://peterrex1.substack.com/p/the-well-and-the-bucket?r=60rv9f

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